Recent content by Daniel758

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  1. D

    'per patient year' question

    Thank you for the clarification but did you not read my previous posts? If so, I'm not sure why you think I was/am arguing that the risk specifically for year 30 or any other specific year was 45%. I believe I clearly spelled out the 45% was the risk over the 30 year time period and the 2% was...
  2. D

    'per patient year' question

    You may be reading the original poster wrong. The original poster was asking what his risk was over a 30 year period based on a risk of 2% per year, not simply for year 1 or any specific individual year within the 30 year period. Your answer of 2% was incorrect and bad information if the...
  3. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    Superman, I'm impressed, a good movie and an effective use of a meme. Pellicle, you should take notes.
  4. D

    Tissue vs. Mechanical

    I brought this thread back up to show that in the past this forum was more supportive to people of both valve types, the number of each group was more evenly distributed and that all were welcome.
  5. D

    'per patient year' question

    Yes, your chance this year is still 2% but your chance of having had a bleeding event over the last 32 years was around 48%. Essentially a coin flip and you did well. Over the next 32 years, your chance of having a bleeding event is also 48%. I wish you luck once again on that coin flip. Note...
  6. D

    'per patient year' question

    The answer is: 1 minus the probability of the event NOT happening (1-(.98^30))100= 45% over 30 years at 2% per year. So a little less than half of people receiving a mechanical valve should be expected to encounter a “stroke or bleed” event at some point over a 30 year period. If the risk...
  7. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    Well I see you guys got the tears out, had a nice group hug and moved on, congratulations! So where was that post where you likened yourselves to Clint Eastwood in Gran Torino again? Too funny! Have a good day fellas and stay safe
  8. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    Rebecca, Congratulations on your 11 year anniversary and thank you for reminding us this is a support group. I went back and read a thread you commented on from 2012: tissue vs mechanical with simply name, age, type of valve chosen and occasional comment. Nothing more. What a respectful group...
  9. D

    Tissue vs. Mechanical

    What a fantastic thread!
  10. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    A few reasons before I have to get out of here: One, I like to keep up with any new improvements/information about valves, etc., I'm especially interested in the Foldax, since I may one day need a replacement valve of my own. Two, I like to read people's success stories. I also like to give...
  11. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    I'm a CFA charter holder from my days in Private Equity/Venture Capital. Again, illustrating that you don't have enough information from my forum postings to even make a correct decision about my financial background, let alone enough information to give me (or others) medical advice. It would...
  12. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    Yes. Dr. Vaugn Starnes, I have things to do today but you can look him up. I can only go by your own words quoted exactly from your own post (see post above), specifically: "I leaned towards the ATS. At that time, I had almost no knowledge of the ATS." If you posted a correction somewhere...
  13. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    Stick around for a while. 1. No, I did not relay all my medical facts or ask anyone here for their medical opinion on valve choice before surgery... but I was negatively influenced by reading this board in a way that would have turned disastrous if my Barrett's esophagus/potential future...
  14. D

    Pre Surgery and Work

    I agree that knowing the possible complications and remedies of discovering a Warfarin issue after implantation should be a consideration and is not really covered much (as far as I know) on this forum. The other issue I would like to see is consideration of how warfarin may complicate future...
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    Pre Surgery and Work

    It's important for people coming here during a very stressful and confusing time in their lives to know that the person pretending to be an expert here (you) is giving them advice contrary to what they actually did themselves. It's also important to show how this advice could harm them. If you...
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