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Thank you for the clarification but did you not read my previous posts? If so, I'm not sure why you think I was/am arguing that the risk specifically for year 30 or any other specific year was 45%. I believe I clearly spelled out the 45% was the risk over the 30 year time period and the 2% was...

You may be reading the original poster wrong. The original poster was asking what his risk was over a 30 year period based on a risk of 2% per year, not simply for year 1 or any specific individual year within the 30 year period. Your answer of 2% was incorrect and bad information if the...

Superman, I'm impressed, a good movie and an effective use of a meme. Pellicle, you should take notes.

I brought this thread back up to show that in the past this forum was more supportive to people of both valve types, the number of each group was more evenly distributed and that all were welcome.

Yes, your chance this year is still 2% but your chance of having had a bleeding event over the last 32 years was around 48%. Essentially a coin flip and you did well. Over the next 32 years, your chance of having a bleeding event is also 48%. I wish you luck once again on that coin flip. Note...

The answer is: 1 minus the probability of the event NOT happening (1-(.98^30))100= 45% over 30 years at 2% per year. So a little less than half of people receiving a mechanical valve should be expected to encounter a “stroke or bleed” event at some point over a 30 year period. If the risk...

Well I see you guys got the tears out, had a nice group hug and moved on, congratulations! So where was that post where you likened yourselves to Clint Eastwood in Gran Torino again? Too funny! Have a good day fellas and stay safe

Rebecca, Congratulations on your 11 year anniversary and thank you for reminding us this is a support group. I went back and read a thread you commented on from 2012: tissue vs mechanical with simply name, age, type of valve chosen and occasional comment. Nothing more. What a respectful group...

What a fantastic thread!

A few reasons before I have to get out of here: One, I like to keep up with any new improvements/information about valves, etc., I'm especially interested in the Foldax, since I may one day need a replacement valve of my own. Two, I like to read people's success stories. I also like to give...

I'm a CFA charter holder from my days in Private Equity/Venture Capital. Again, illustrating that you don't have enough information from my forum postings to even make a correct decision about my financial background, let alone enough information to give me (or others) medical advice. It would...

Yes. Dr. Vaugn Starnes, I have things to do today but you can look him up. I can only go by your own words quoted exactly from your own post (see post above), specifically: "I leaned towards the ATS. At that time, I had almost no knowledge of the ATS." If you posted a correction somewhere...

Stick around for a while. 1. No, I did not relay all my medical facts or ask anyone here for their medical opinion on valve choice before surgery... but I was negatively influenced by reading this board in a way that would have turned disastrous if my Barrett's esophagus/potential future...

I agree that knowing the possible complications and remedies of discovering a Warfarin issue after implantation should be a consideration and is not really covered much (as far as I know) on this forum. The other issue I would like to see is consideration of how warfarin may complicate future...

It's important for people coming here during a very stressful and confusing time in their lives to know that the person pretending to be an expert here (you) is giving them advice contrary to what they actually did themselves. It's also important to show how this advice could harm them. If you...

Chuck, It's interesting how group think here has evolved into you and your group believing posters such as yourself and your small group have as much knowledge as doctors and surgeons and that readers should take your medical advice/knowledge as equivalent to their medical professionals...

Hello Newarrior, I said you mismanaged your resources because you use your investments as your main source of income and, as such, your portfolio should have been set up as very risk adverse, income generating and hedged against a downturn... and it wasn't... as proven by your substantial...

Newarrior, At some point you have to take full personal responsibility for yourself and your situation, both medical and financial. Full stop here. First, you know you'll need surgery so pick a valve option and move on. Second, no one owes you a free surgery or a life free of having to work...

Excellent!

Just to let you know, you were not rude. Pellicle was rude and he's routinely rude to anyone who does not 100% agree with/follow his "expert" opinions. It's just who he is. It's too bad too because he does have some good input when he doesn't veer off into this rude jerk stuff. Read through...